Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.206599 0.239115 0.275055 0.317727 0.367016 0.422173 0.488601
2025-09-14 0.150309 0.192475 0.243924 0.311321 0.397334 0.503512 0.644702
2025-09-21 0.121212 0.166511 0.225705 0.308737 0.422300 0.572374 0.786152
2025-09-28 0.103373 0.150380 0.215342 0.311691 0.451129 0.645927 0.939445
2025-10-05 0.093781 0.143369 0.215300 0.327267 0.497434 0.746881 1.141485
2025-10-12 0.084918 0.135717 0.212666 0.337740 0.536333 0.840256 1.342436
2025-10-19 0.077153 0.128412 0.209190 0.345778 0.571502 0.930789 1.548540
2025-10-26 0.069703 0.120453 0.203413 0.348919 0.598452 1.010354 1.745154
2025-11-02 0.062148 0.111240 0.194289 0.345023 0.612637 1.069680 1.913615
2025-11-09 0.054538 0.100910 0.181932 0.333819 0.612434 1.103787 2.041075
2025-11-16 0.050839 0.097072 0.180364 0.341365 0.645996 1.199836 2.289433
2025-11-23 0.046819 0.092117 0.176145 0.343384 0.669308 1.279306 2.515222
2025-11-30 0.043503 0.088190 0.173533 0.348414 0.699422 1.375647 2.786547
2025-12-07 0.039130 0.081669 0.165247 0.341440 0.705379 1.426544 2.974838
2025-12-14 0.035734 0.076700 0.159412 0.338606 0.719098 1.493769 3.203298
2025-12-21 0.033318 0.073473 0.156707 0.341846 0.745565 1.589276 3.501204
2025-12-28 0.032395 0.073327 0.160356 0.358928 0.803223 1.755470 3.969392
2026-01-04 0.031032 0.072042 0.161410 0.370413 0.849856 1.902879 4.412701
2026-01-11 0.029553 0.070317 0.161297 0.379229 0.891403 2.043348 4.856004
2026-01-18 0.027796 0.067736 0.158972 0.382674 0.920932 2.159823 5.256611
2026-01-25 0.025665 0.064017 0.153631 0.378401 0.931777 2.234437 5.565941
2026-02-01 0.023226 0.059264 0.145351 0.366113 0.921915 2.259307 5.756795
2026-02-08 0.022252 0.058049 0.145426 0.374389 0.963559 2.411906 6.282911